Consolidated Statements of Income | Consolidated Balance Sheets | Consolidated Statements of Changes in Shareholders' Equity | Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows | Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

December 31, 2003, 2002 and 2001

1

Reporting and Accounting Policies

8

Employee Benefit Plans

2

Investments

9

Segment Information

3

Income Taxes

10

Other Comprehensive Income

4

Debt

11

Litigation

5

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves

12

Commitments and Contingencies

6

Reinsurance

13

Fair Value of Financial Instruments

7

Statutory Financial Information

14

Related Party Transactions

1 Reporting and Accounting Policies

Nature of Operations The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company formed in 1965, owns 68 subsidiaries and has 1 mutual insurance company affiliate and 1 reciprocal insurance company affiliate (the Company) as of December 31, 2003. The insurance subsidiaries and affiliates provide personal automobile insurance and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services throughout the United States. The Company's Personal Lines segment writes insurance for private passenger automobiles and recreation vehicles through both an independent agency channel and a direct channel. The Company's Commercial Auto segment writes insurance for automobiles and trucks owned by small businesses primarily through the independent agency channel.


Basis of Consolidation and Reporting The accompanying consolidated financial statements include the accounts of The Progressive Corporation, its subsidiaries and affiliates. All of the subsidiaries and the affiliates are wholly owned or controlled. All intercompany accounts and transactions are eliminated in consolidation.


Estimates The Company is required to make estimates and assumptions when preparing its financial statements and accompanying notes in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Actual results could differ from those estimates.


Investments Available-for-sale: fixed maturity securities are debt securities, which may have fixed or variable principal payment schedules, may be held for indefinite periods of time, and may be used as a part of the Company's asset/liability strategy or sold in response to changes in interest rates, anticipated prepayments, risk/reward characteristics, liquidity needs or similar economic factors. These securities are carried at market value with the corresponding unrealized appreciation or depreciation, net of deferred income taxes, reported in accumulated other comprehensive income. Market values are obtained from a recognized pricing service or other quoted sources. The asset-backed portfolio is accounted for under the retrospective method; prepayment assumptions are based on market expectations. For interest only and non-investment-grade asset-backed securities, the prospective method is used in accordance with the guidance prescribed by Emerging Issues Task Force Issue (EITF) 99-20, "Recognition of Interest Income and Impairment on Purchased and Retained Beneficial Interest in Securitized Financial Assets."

Available-for-sale: equity securities include common equities and nonredeemable preferred stocks and are reported at quoted market values. Changes in the market values of these securities, net of deferred income taxes, are reflected as unrealized appreciation or depreciation in accumulated other comprehensive income. Changes in value of foreign equities due to foreign currency exchange rates are limited by foreign currency hedges; unhedged amounts are not material and changes in value are recognized in income in the current period. The Company held no foreign equities or foreign currency hedges during 2003 or 2002.

Trading securities are securities bought principally for the purpose of sale in the near term and, when not material to the Company's financial position, cash flows or results of operations, are reported at market value within the available-for-sale portfolio. The Company had no trading securities at December 31, 2003; derivatives used for trading are discussed below. In prior years, the net activity in trading securities was not material to the Company's financial position or cash flows; the effect on results of operations is separately disclosed in Note 2 - Investments. To the extent the Company has trading securities, changes in market value would be recognized in income in the current period.

Derivative instruments may include futures, options, forward positions, foreign currency forwards and interest rate swap agreements and may be used in the portfolio for risk management or trading purposes or to hedge the exposure to: changes in fair value of an asset or liability (fair value hedge); foreign currency of an investment in a foreign operation (foreign currency hedge); or variable cash flows of a forecasted transaction (cash flow hedge). These derivative instruments would be recognized as either assets or liabilities and measured at fair value with changes in fair value recognized in income in the period of change. Changes in the fair value of the hedged items would be recognized in income while the hedge was in effect.

At December 31, 2003, the Company held two derivatives classified as trading securities. The Company sold default protection related to two issuers, using credit default swaps and matched the notional value of these positions with Treasury notes with an equivalent principal value and maturity to replicate a cash bond position. Changes in the fair value of the credit default swaps and the Treasury notes are recognized in income in the current period.

During 2003, the Company held no derivatives classified as cash flow hedges. Changes in fair value of these hedges are reported as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income and subsequently amortized into earnings over the life of the hedged transaction. Gains and losses on hedges on forecasted transactions are amortized over the life of the hedged item (see Note 4 - Debt). Hedges on forecasted transactions that no longer qualify for hedge accounting due to lack of correlation are considered derivatives used for risk management purposes.

During 2003, the Company had no fair value or foreign currency hedges or derivative instruments held or issued for risk management purposes. To the extent the Company held fair value hedges, changes in the hedge, along with the hedged items would be recognized in income in the period of change while the hedge was in effect. Gains and losses on foreign currency hedges would offset the foreign exchange gains and losses on the foreign investments. Derivatives held or issued for risk management purposes would be recognized in income during the period of change.

Derivatives designated as hedges would also be evaluated on established criteria to determine the effectiveness of their correlation to, and ability to reduce risk of, specific securities or transactions; effectiveness would be reassessed regularly. If the effectiveness of a fair value hedge becomes non-compliant, the adjustment in the change in value of the hedged item would no longer be recognized in income during the current period.

For all derivative positions, net cash requirements are limited to changes in market values, which may vary based upon changes in interest rates, currency exchange rates and other factors. Exposure to credit risk is limited to the carrying value; collateral may be required to limit credit risk.

Short-term investments include Eurodollar deposits, commercial paper and other securities maturing within one year and are reported at amortized cost, which approximates market.

Investment securities are exposed to various risks such as interest rate, market and credit risk. Market values of securities fluctuate based on the magnitude of changing market conditions; significant changes in market conditions could materially affect portfolio value in the near term. The Company continually monitors its portfolio for pricing changes, which might indicate potential impairments and performs detailed reviews of securities with unrealized losses based on predetermined criteria. In such cases, changes in market value are evaluated to determine the extent to which such changes are attributable to (i) fundamental factors specific to the issuer, such as financial conditions, business prospects or other factors or (ii) market-related factors, such as interest rates or equity market declines. When a security in the Company's investment portfolio has an unrealized loss in market value that is deemed to be other than temporary, the Company reduces the book value of such security to its current market value, recognizing the decline as a realized loss in the income statement. Any future increases in the market value of securities written down are reflected as changes in unrealized gains as part of accumulated other comprehensive income within shareholders' equity.

Realized gains and losses on securities are computed based on the first-in first-out method and include write-downs on available-for-sale securities considered to have other than temporary declines in market value.


Property and Equipment Property and equipment are recorded at cost. Depreciation is provided over the estimated useful lives of the assets using accelerated methods for computers and the straight-line method for all other fixed assets. The useful lives range from 3 to 4 years for computers, 10 to 40 years for buildings and improvements, and 5 to 6 years for all other property and equipment. Property and equipment includes software capitalized for internal use. At December 31, 2003 and 2002, land and buildings comprised 75% and 73%, respectively, of total property and equipment.

Total interest capitalized was $1.5 million, $.5 million and $1.2 million in 2003, 2002 and 2001, respectively, relating to both the Company's construction projects and capitalized computer software costs.


Insurance Premiums and Receivables Insurance premiums written are earned on a pro rata basis over the period of risk, using a mid-month convention. Insurance premiums written in 2004 and forward will be earned based on a daily earnings convention. The Company provides insurance and related services to individuals and small commercial accounts throughout the United States, and offers a variety of payment plans. Generally, premiums are collected prior to providing risk coverage, minimizing the Company's exposure to credit risk. The Company performs a policy level evaluation to determine the extent the premiums receivable balance exceeds its unearned premiums balance. The Company then ages this exposure to establish an allowance for doubtful accounts based on prior experience.


Income Taxes The income tax provision is calculated under the balance sheet approach in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) 109 "Accounting for Income Taxes." Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recorded based on the difference between the financial statement and tax bases of assets and liabilities at the enacted tax rates. The principal assets and liabilities giving rise to such differences are net unrealized gains/losses on securities, loss reserves, unearned premiums reserves, deferred acquisition costs and non-deductible accruals. The Company reviews its deferred tax assets for recoverability. At December 31, 2003, the Company is able to demonstrate that the benefit of its deferred tax assets is fully realizable and, therefore, no valuation allowance is recorded.


Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves Loss reserves represent the estimated liability on claims reported to the Company, plus reserves for losses incurred but not yet reported (IBNR). These estimates are reported net of amounts recoverable from salvage and subrogation. Loss adjustment expense reserves represent the estimated expenses required to settle these claims and losses. The methods of making estimates and establishing these reserves are reviewed regularly, and resulting adjustments are reflected in income currently. Such loss and loss adjustment expense reserves could be susceptible to significant change in the near term.


Reinsurance The Company's reinsurance transactions include premiums written under state-mandated involuntary plans for commercial vehicles (Commercial Auto Insurance Procedures-CAIP), for which the Company retains no loss indemnity risk (see Note 6 - Reinsurance for further discussion). In addition, the Company cedes auto premiums to state-provided reinsurance facilities and premiums in its non-auto programs to limit its exposure in those particular markets. Prepaid reinsurance premiums were recognized on a pro rata basis over the period of risk, primarily using a mid-month convention and consistent with premiums written. Beginning in 2004, prepaid reinsurance premiums will be earned based on a daily earnings convention. Because the Company's primary line of business, auto insurance, is written at relatively low limits of liability, the Company does not believe that it needs to mitigate its risk through voluntary reinsurance.


Earnings Per Share Basic earnings per share are computed using the weighted average number of Common Shares outstanding. Diluted earnings per share include common stock equivalents assumed outstanding during the period. The Company's common stock equivalents include stock options and qualified restricted stock awards.


Deferred Acquisition Costs Deferred acquisition costs include commissions, premium taxes and other variable underwriting and direct sales costs incurred in connection with writing business. These costs are deferred and amortized over the policy period in which the related premiums are earned. The Company considers anticipated investment income in determining the recoverability of these costs. Management believes that these costs will be fully recoverable in the near term. The Company does not defer advertising costs.


Guaranty Fund Assessments The Company is subject to state guaranty fund assessments which provide for the payment of covered claims or other insurance obligations of insurance companies deemed insolvent. These assessments are accrued after a formal determination of insolvency has occurred and the Company has written the premiums on which the assessments will be based.


Service Revenues and Expenses Service revenues consist primarily of fees generated from processing business for involuntary plans and are earned on a pro rata basis over the term of the related policies. Acquisition expenses are deferred and amortized over the period in which the related revenues are earned.


Stock Compensation The Company follows the provisions of SFAS 123 "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation," to account for its stock compensation activity in the financial statements. Prior to January 1, 2003, the Company followed the provisions of Accounting Principles Board (APB) Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees," to account for its stock option activity.

The change to the fair value method of accounting was applied prospectively to all non-qualified stock option awards granted, modified, or settled after January 1, 2003. No stock options were granted after December 31, 2002. As a result, there is no compensation cost for stock options included in net income for 2003; however, compensation expense would have been recognized if the fair value method had been used for all awards since the original effective date of SFAS 123 (January 1, 1995). Prior to 2003, the Company granted all options currently outstanding at an exercise price equal to the market price at the date of grant and, therefore, under APB 25, no compensation expense was recorded.

Beginning in 2003, the Company began issuing restricted stock awards. Compensation expense for restricted stock awards is recognized over the vesting period. The current year expense is not representative of the effect on net income for future years since each subsequent year will reflect expense for additional awards.

The following table is presented in accordance with SFAS 148, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation -- Transition and Disclosure" and shows the effects on net income and earnings per share had the fair value method been applied to all outstanding and unvested stock option awards for the periods presented. The Company uses the Black-Scholes pricing model to calculate the fair value of the options awarded as of the date of grant.


The current year pro forma expense is not representative of the effect on net income for future years since the Company stopped issuing non-qualified stock option awards as of December 31, 2002.

Supplemental Cash Flow Information Cash includes only bank demand deposits. The Company paid income taxes of $579.0 million, $392.0 million and $127.3 million in 2003, 2002 and 2001, respectively. Total interest paid was $99.0 million during 2003, $64.4 million during 2002 and $51.3 million during 2001. Non-cash activity includes the liability for deferred restricted stock compensation and the changes in net unrealized appreciation on investment securities.

The Company effected a 3-for-1 stock split in the form of a dividend to shareholders on April 22, 2002. The Company issued its Common Shares by transferring $147.0 million from retained earnings to the Common Share account. All share and per share amounts and stock prices were adjusted to give effect to the split. Treasury shares were not split.


New Accounting Standards The accounting standards recently issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board, Statements of Position and Practice Bulletins issued by the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants and consensus positions of the EITF, which are not reflected within this Annual Report, are currently not applicable to the Company, and therefore, would have no impact on the Company's financial condition, cash flows or results of operations.

continue to NOTE 2 INVESTMENTS